SemiAnalysis analyst warns open AI models could face restrictions within 6–12 months
Max Kan of SemiAnalysis warned that many are underestimating the chance that open AI models could be restricted or outright banned within the next 6–12 months because of cyber risks. Anthropic has warned that the gap between Mythos Preview’s ability to find zero-day vulnerabilities and the capabilities of leading open models has narrowed, and that open models could soon do similar work.
Possible controls include limits at the inference, data-center or chip level, as well as checks on access to hardware. But preventing people from downloading open-weight models and running them locally would be difficult. Large-scale cyberattacks may also require serious GPU capacity and many agents working together, leaving the practical reach and effectiveness of any restrictions uncertain.
