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September 29, 2026

OpenAI representative expects to forecast the pace of scientific discovery correctly

An OpenAI representative said he expects to be right about the rate of scientific discovery and believes people will care about much the same things and have similar motivations 10 years from now. He added that even with advanced intelligence, many parts of life will stay the same.

He said he tries to leave his mistaken predictions public and expects to get the order of developments wrong, citing haircuts, Hugging Face and Navier-Stokes as examples.

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