AI 2040 proposes delaying AGI to 2035 and superintelligence to 2040

The AI 2040 proposal calls for slowing, rather than halting, AI development and gradually scaling toward top human-expert capability around 2040. It envisions pushing AGI—sometimes forecast for 2027–2029—to 2035, then waiting about five more years before reaching superintelligence.

The proposal is described as an initial plan that could change over the next decade. Under strict international control, some AI development could potentially move into a secret government program resembling the Manhattan Project, as countries may not be expected to slow down voluntarily.

Supporters of the approach view it as a concrete path for reducing existential risk. Critics may regard such control over computer use as authoritarian or anti-libertarian.